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Best NBA Betting and Player Props 1/16/26

Another exciting day of basketball is upon us and there are a number of attractive betting options on tonight's NBA schedule. Using advanced simulation and machine learning, our Basketball Forever bot has run thousands of simulations on every game to expertly determine our best player props and bets for the night.

Player props

1. James Harden has over 7.5 assists total (+103)

Odds: +103
Probability: 57.4%
Projection: 8.8
Advantage: 8.2%
Game: Clippers vs. Raptors (7:30 p.m. ET)

The Basketball Forever betting bot has found today's first best player prop bet, finding value in the total assists prop market. Our goal is for James Harden to total more than 7.5 assists against the Clippers against the Raptors. In Harden's past 5 games, he has exceeded this line in 3/5 games, with 8/10/7/6/9 assists in each game. Our model suspects that with the Raptors having multiple starters injured, Harden should have enough upside to get over that line. We want him to be able to get the ball into the best scoring matchups and provide assists.

We recommend you place a bet James Harden has over 7.5 assists totalattractive 8.2% advantageand +103 odds.

2. Amen Thompson has over 5.5 assists total (+122)

Odds: +122
Probability: 5.9
Prediction: 52.2%
Advantage: 7.1%
Game: Timberwolves vs. Rockets (9:30 p.m. ET)

The other top player bet on today's NBA slate, according to our model, is Amen Thompson in the Timberwolves' game against the Rockets. Thompson has averaged 5.1 assists per game so far this season, showing value in the total assist market. He has been able to surpass that specific number in his last 2/5 games, with 3/2/6/3/6 assists in each game. With Anthony Edwards listed as out by the Timberwolves, we predict Thompson will assist by moving the ball. With our model predicting Thompson will finish this game with 5.9 assists, we believe that's a solid bet in this particular game.

Basketball Forever Betting Robot Recommends Betting Amen Thompson has over 5.5 assists totalthere is one 7.1% margin exist +122 odds.

3. Immanuel Quickley has over 4.5 total rebounds (+128)

Odds: +128
Probability: 50.1%
Projection: 4.6
Advantage: 6.2%
Game: Clippers vs. Raptors (7:30 p.m. ET)

The last of the best NBA player prop bets recommended by our betting bot also comes in the Clippers vs. Raptors game, with Immanuel Quickley showing value in the prop market for total rebounds. Our model has narrowed Immanuel Quickley's rebound total to just over 4.5, another solid bet to be on tonight's NBA roster. Against a Clippers team that is giving up 42.5 rebounds per game, we expect Quickley to have plenty of time to get over the line tonight. Since our model protects Quickley to finish this game with a total of 4.6 REB, our model has strong confidence in this bet.

Our model predicts Immanuel Quickley has over 4.5 total rebounds In tonight's game, that gives us a 6.2% margin At +128 odds.

best choice

1. Timberwolves +3.5 (-105)

Odds: -105
Probability: 54.3%
Advantage: 2.9%
Game: Timberwolves vs. Rockets (9:30 p.m. ET)

Our Basketball Forever betting bot found the best bet of the day, taking place in the Timberwolves vs. Rockets game. Our model identifies Timberwolves +4.5 as a solid bet in this game. Heading into tonight's game, both teams have a few injuries that could prevent them from playing in tonight's game, with Edwards, Shannon Jr., and VanVleet all listed as out. The Timberwolves' winning rate in recent games is as high as 4/5. Our model suspects they'll stay close tonight against the Rockets and they'll be able to make up the difference by the end of the game.

Our Basketball Forever Betting Bot Recommends Betting Timberwolves +4.5 pass. and -105 odds and a 2.9% advantagewhich is our best choice today.

2. Raptors +1.5 (-115)

Odds: -115
Probability: 52.2%
Advantage: 2.6%
Game: Clippers vs. Raptors (7:30 p.m. ET)

The next best bet found by our Basketball Forever Betting bot is between the Clippers and Raptors. Our model predicts the Raptors +1.5 to be a solid bet with today's lineup. Since both teams have a number of players listed as GTD, our model believes the Raptors will be able to cover tonight's number of players by the end of the game. Our model suspects both teams will play hard, with each team limiting the other's easy shots, resulting in a lower-scoring game. Our model thinks the Raptors will fight tonight, limit the Clippers' scoring, and allow them to make up the difference tonight.

The play here is Raptors +1.5. and Odds -115. Our model has identified a 2.6% margin For this particular bet.

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